I’m going to
try to explain what’s going on in America right now by drawing a connection
between two news stories. On the surface, they don’t seem to have much to do
with each other, but when you really think about them, it’s obvious that
there’s a common thread.
The first story
comes from way back in November of 2018, when President Trump complained about
an “Obama judge” on the 9th Circuit ruling against his asylum policy.
Trump’s comments angered Chief Justice John Roberts, who gave a speech saying:
“We do not have
Obama judges or Trump judges, Bush judges or Clinton judges. What we have is an
extraordinary group of dedicated judges doing their level best to do equal
right to those appearing before them. That independent judiciary is something
we should all be thankful for.”
To which Trump responded by tweeting: “Sorry
Chief Justice John Roberts, but you do indeed have ‘Obama judges,’ and they
have a much different point of view than the people who are charged with the
safety of our country....”
For the Deep
State and its sympathizers, Robert’s statement was a dignified and erudite
defence of the institutions of liberal democracy, while Trump’s tweet was a
crass attack on said institutions.
But ordinary
Americans, who aren’t emotionally invested in keeping up the illusion that all
is well on the banks of the Potomac, saw something different. They saw John
Roberts telling a lie, and Donald Trump telling the truth.
Everybody knows
that most of what the upper level of the judicial system does is politics by another
name. They know that, most of the time, Obama judges, Trump judges, Bush
judges, and Clinton judges rule differently on politically charged questions.
And a large portion of the American people decide who to vote for in
presidential elections based mainly on what kinds of judges they want the next
president to appoint.
And yet John
Roberts has the audacity to tell these people that none of this is true, and
that all judges are really just doing their best to enforce the same laws in an
impartial way.
And then, right
after this creature of the Deep State (not even a Democrat, but a moderate
Republican) has told his lie, Donald Trump does what most politicians won’t do
(including Republicans) and tells the truth.
And then, over
the next few years, when Trump’s base continues to believe Trump’s statements in
preference to those of the media, the regulatory agencies, Anthony Fauci, the
“moderates” in Congress, or whoever, the elite classes and the plutocrats and
the mainstream press continue to act surprised, as if there is no reason for
anybody to take Trump’s word over theirs about illegal immigration, or the
origin of the coronavirus, or hydroxochloroquinine, or election fraud.
Except that
there was a reason that the Deplorables listened to Trump instead of the
mainstream voices. It is because the mainstream voices have been lying to them
for a long, long, time, without even trying to be subtle. Eventually, the
Deplorables noticed, and decided to trust someone else.
Now for the
second, and more recent, news item, in which we see our self-appointed betters
growing impatient with plain lying, and moving on to censorship, as exemplified
by YouTube’s decision, about a week ago, to ban all content questioning
the efficacy of covid vaccines.
You know who
questions the efficacy of covid vaccines? Scientists. Anyone who’s been
following the news for the last year or so knows that, while most scientists
studying the vaccines believe that their efficacy is well above zero, there
have been all sorts of disagreements about how well they actually work: do they
prevent serious symptoms 90% of the time or only 70% of the time? Do they work
at all against the Delta Variant? Do their effects fade with time? Is a third
dose necessary? Will people who already have natural antibodies get any benefit
from the vaccines?
All of these
questions have been debated by the scientific community, and attentive
news-watchers know that there isn’t a settled consensus. Which should surprise
nobody, as the vaccines are new, and approved for experimental use only. At
this point, it’s good that scientists aren’t all thinking the same
thoughts, because that means that at least some of them are doing their jobs.
However, the
people who run this country (and, let’s be honest, at this point the government
agencies and the big corporations are all run by the same left-leaning
plutocrat class) have decided that the Deplorables aren’t allowed to know any
of this.
These people
know that the Deplorables don’t trust them anymore. So they have to rely on
censorship, because they can’t just make their case with logic, and say things
like: ‘We all know that the science isn’t fully settled yet, but most of the
evidence indicates that the vaccines work most of the time, and your chances of
getting harmed by a vaccine are small compared to your chances of getting
harmed by the virus, so we’re recommending that you get the shot. But if you
don’t, we won’t try to punish you or shame you, because we still believe in
liberty.’
That’s the sort
of argument that might have worked fifteen years ago. It doesn’t work today,
because the Deplorables know that the people saying it have their heads so far
up their own rear ends that they either can’t see, or don’t care about, the
obvious untruth of statements like “we do not have Obama judges or Trump judges.”
So instead they
rely on coercion and censorship. Science takes a backseat to politics, just
like it did way back in the spring of 2020, when scientists did a bunch of
studies on the efficacy of cloth masks, most of which suggested that they didn’t work, and then
dropped the whole topic like a hot rock once it became apparent that most of
the people who didn’t want to wear masks were those nasty Trump voters.
So when upper-class
liberals are left banging their heads on the wall and saying: ‘Why do these
people keep on trusting Donald Trump, even after the events of January 6, and
why won’t they believe the FDA when it tells them not to treat Covid with
horse-deworming pills, and why are hospitals having to shut down because so
many of their employees – medical professionals! – are willing to lose their
jobs rather than get the vaccine?’
And the answer
is that all this is happening because people notice when the elites lie. They
notice when the elites engage in censorship. And they don’t un-notice. Also,
once they’ve stopped trusting you, they won’t start again just because you want
them to. Instead, they’ll trust somebody else, even if, in your (now-irrelevant)
opinion, that somebody else is the worst person in the world for them to trust.
This article
was originally published at American Thinker.
This is a good analysis of a piece of the Great Puzzle, the latter being: "What is Happening to the USA? Why is its ruling class committing national suicide?"
ReplyDeleteIn part, the answer can be found by studying the same phenomenon in the West as a whole. Having effectively conquered the world by pioneering humanity's advance into modernity, it has now lost its self-confidence, and is turning one of its great achievements -- concern for all humans -- against itself.
But the USA has its own characteristics, its own method of decline, and this essay illuminates one of them. A somewhat similar analysis can be found here, by one of the most astute British analysts of current political reality, Douglas Murray:https://www.spectator.co.uk/article/the-pandemic-has-made-cynics-of-us-all
It's behind a paywall, but here is a characteristic snippet:
"... recent years have offered a stark example of what happens when the public see through their institutions. Even five years ago you would speak to conservative Americans and be able to predict with great ease which aspects of their nation they had faith in. They would be reliably pro-law enforcement, wildly in favour of the armed forces and the nation’s security apparatus. And while everybody was used to political figures letting them down, there were plenty of parts of the state that still produced a feeling of respect, indeed reverence.
In the space of only a few years, all that has changed. Today the American right is openly contemptuous of institutions and individuals it revered only a few years ago. It still admires the soldiery, but it loathes the military top brass. The evening talk shows and conservative journalists do not only disagree with the chairman of the joint chiefs of staff. They mock him. It is the same with the CIA, FBI and NSA. The nation’s intelligence and security agencies used to be regarded as the Rolls-Royces of America’s national security armoury. Today the American right says things about each of these agencies that was said over the past decade only by Assange-ist or Snowdenite bloggers of the far left. American conservatives now loathe these institutions, viewing them as corrupt and untrustworthy. It is the same with other branches of government, like the Internal Revenue Service, much of the judicial system, and then the real biggie, the system of voter registration (or lack thereof) and the way in which votes are counted after elections."
Yes, it is true that there has been a great collapse of confidence in the American government on the part of the political Right over the last few years. And I've got to admit that in some ways, I don't really know yet what to make of this.
DeleteTo begin with, a lot of the things that the government is doing that the Right hates have been going on for at least half a century: i.e. the current military incompetence is in many ways a low-energy replay of the Vietnam War (or, as Marx said, “history repeats itself, first as tragedy, then as farce.”) The federal courts have been making obviously non-literal interpretations of the constitution since the 1960s. The schools have been indoctrinating children in leftism for at least two generations. The police have not cared about the Bill of Rights for just as long. Et cetera. While conservatives will complain about these things from time to time, they always seem to think the problem is smaller and more recent than it really is, i.e. “the Left is trying to destroy our institutions” and not “the Left has radically remade our institutions in its own image, and this happened before most people now living in America were born.”
It appears that the Right is finally waking up - to some degree - to what is happening, but still, nobody has a coherent response. They are probably going to run Trump for president again, and even on the off-chance he wins, what can we expect him to do, policy-wise? He didn’t really do much the first time around. And the events of January 6 show that the Right has no idea how to make an insurrection, either. Nor do they know how to take control of the judiciary and civil service. Nor does America’s top military leadership show any indication of being ready for a coup. And that covers just about all the routes to power that there are, which is why my prediction for America is still a slow slide into 3rd world conditions over the next few decades, with only a few people really knowing what's going on or preparing rationally for the future.
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