Saudi Arabia, like many countries, is ruled by short-term thinking. But the House of Saud is making its mistakes in a part of the world where the phrase "heads will roll" has retained its literal meaning.
Listen to this post: Twilight Patriot - 2 March 2019
Many
nations are guilty of short-term thinking and an overly-commercial outlook on life.
When we hear criticisms of this sort, we tend to think of them as applying to
the United States, Britain, and other European countries – but it may turn out that
one of the first wealthy nations to fall on account of such thinking will be
Saudi Arabia.
Granted,
the Saudis don’t have all the
problems of the West, but the ones they do have they have in superabundance. In
any case, their situation is worth a close examination as an example of the
kind of pit that commercialism can get a country into.
I will
begin with a rundown of Saudi Arabia’s current economic situation.
The
per-capita GDP is $21,096, highest of all the large Muslim countries, though it
is slightly down from last year. Petroleum accounts for 90% of exports.
Although the oil will not run out anytime soon, the shale revolution has
allowed other countries to become less dependent on Arab oil, and Saudi Arabia
is now third among oil producers, after the United States and Russia. Saudi
Arabia’s leaders have been talking about the need to diversify for a long time,
but no change is forthcoming.
Income
inequality is very high, and the youth unemployment rate is 25%. Saudi Arabia
closed out 2017 with government debt at 17% of GDP, up from 2% three years
earlier.
At its
core, Saudi Arabia’s economic system consists of a wealthy elite pursuing highly
profitable, albeit short-term economic successes, while a large class of
forgotten, obsolete peasants grows increasingly dissatisfied with the whole
operation.
And it
isn’t just lower-class Arabs to whom the Saudi Kingdom is turning a blind eye. Remember,
Saudi Arabia is the heartland of global Islam, and its King, whether he wants
to be or not, is seen as the leader and protector of all the world’s Muslims. So
important, indeed, is his guardianship over Mecca that the title “Custodian of
the Two Holy Mosques” comes before “King” in his list of honorifics.
And the
King is not living up to it. You may recall all the news recently about how
China has imprisoned a million Uighar Turks in concentration camps, resulting
in a lot of impotent howling from the few Westerners concerned about human
rights, and a lot of business-as-usual from the West’s leaders.
The Saudi
King could have done something about this – many of his subjects urged an oil
embargo against China. This would have brought the Chinese to their knees, because
unlike the US and Russia, China has little domestic oil production and must
rely on Arab imports. Instead, Prince Mohammed bin Salman went to Beijing to
personally assure China’s leaders that there would be no disruptions in trade.
To the
south of Saudi Arabia lies Yemen, a culturally similar but much poorer country,
and a portent of what is to come in Saudi Arabia if its problems continue to go
unaddressed. Yemen is locked in civil war against the Houthi Rebels, a group which
modeled its rise to power on the successes of ISIS.
One
difference is in flag design. To the Houthis, ISIS’ famous Black Standard,
inscribed with “There is no God but Allah, and Mohammed is his Prophet” seemed
too tame. The Houthi flag consists of a white field with red and green letters
spelling out:
Allah is
Great!
Death to
America!
Death to
Israel!
Curse on
the Jews!
Victory
to Islam!
Remember,
this is the national flag of the
state that the Houthis are trying to set up. And it isn’t just a flag. For
instance, when the Houthis overran Sana’a along with its university, all the
students were issued new ID cards bearing this motto.
These are
not, by any stretch of the imagination, the good guys. But to millions of
disaffected Muslims, they look like
the good guys when the Saudi Kingdom elevates commerce over the rights of poor
Muslims around the world. ISIS, the Houthis, and other movements of that sort
feed on the indifference of the elite.
There is
a reason that the friendship of Saudi Arabia’s elites toward the United States
has engendered hatred toward that country among the common people. Remember, 15
out of the 19 hijackers on 9/11 were from Saudi Arabia.
The House
of Saud has dug itself deep into the pit of commercialism. While its mistakes and
short-term thinking aren’t intrinsically worse than what America’s leaders have
done, Saudi Arabia is making those mistakes in a much harsher environment.
Islamic terrorists like to chant about killing Americans and
Israelis, but in real life, they mostly kill moderate Muslims. The Saudi rulers
are at the top of their list. And when the Houthi flag, or something like it,
is fluttering over the seven minarets in Mecca, we can expect nasty things to start happening. This is, after all, a part of the world where the phrase "heads will roll" has retained its literal meaning.

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